Deportivo Lara vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 3
ZUL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
LAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 2
ATL
70%
19%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
BAN
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TEM
0 - 0
IND
19%
27%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |