Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 2
CRZ
26%
28%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 1
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
LAR
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
EME
2 - 2
LAR
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EST
4 - 0
ESC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 0
ZAM
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 3
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 1
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 2
TRU
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |