Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
LAR
24%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 2
YAR
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 3
DEP
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 1
ESC
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ZUL
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ESC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 2
ESC
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |