Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
15%
22%
64%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 2
LAR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
MIR
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 2
MIR
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |