Copa Venezuela Final
Global 0-1
Deportivo Lara vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
LAR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
DEP
14%
26%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
LAR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 0
TUC
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
ARA
57%
26%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |