Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-3
Deportivo Lara vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
LAR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 3
LAR
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
LAR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 0
LOJ
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
LAR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 1
UCE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |