Deportivo Lara vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 0
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
GVA
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 3
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -2 |