Deportivo Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
MIN
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 1
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
ANZ
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |