Deportivo Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 1
LAR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
LLA
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 3
LAR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
YAR
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |