Deportivo Lara vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIR
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
0 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
RIV
4 - 0
HUR
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |