Deportivo Lara vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIR
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BOC
3 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |