Deportivo Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
26%
27%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ZUL
4 - 1
LAR
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
LLA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TRU
4 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
MIN
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |