Deportivo Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
MIN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
MIR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
ZAM
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
MIN
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ANZ
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
DEP
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |