Deportivo Lara vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
LAR
19%
25%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
LAR
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
ATL
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
TRU
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |