Deportivo Lara vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
TRU
3 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 3
YAR
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAM
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MIN
2 - 2
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
ANZ
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MIR
2 - 1
ATL
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
DEP
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |