Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 0
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LAR
3 - 2
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
TRU
3 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZAM
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 0
ARA
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
TAC
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TRU
2 - 0
ARA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |