Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 0
LAF
39%
28%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 1
MER
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 1
ALM
16%
24%
60%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
LUJ
2 - 0
LAF
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
LAF
77%
16%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
JJU
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
DOC
0 - 2
ITA
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
BER
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SBA
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 2
ITA
18%
26%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |