Laferrere vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 0
LAF
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
LAF
3 - 1
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 1
LAF
32%
29%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
LAF
1 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CCO
2 - 1
LAF
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
STM
3 - 1
CAM
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 2
STM
65%
21%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
STM
0 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 1
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STM
0 - 1
ARQ
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |