Laferrere vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 3
LAF
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
LAF
1 - 2
JUU
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
LAF
1 - 1
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 0
LAF
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
LAF
3 - 1
BER
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ARQ
0 - 1
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
LAM
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAM
4 - 1
EXC
55%
27%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 0
EXC
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |