Laferrere vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
LAF
45%
29%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAF
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 2
CCO
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
LAF
34%
29%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
LUJ
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 0
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
CAM
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 3
TAL
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 2
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |