Laferrere vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
LAF
45%
28%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 0
DOC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAF
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
LAF
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MID
1 - 2
DOC
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 1
STM
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 0
DOC
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 2
LUJ
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
DOC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |