Laferrere vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
LAF
37%
28%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
LAF
1 - 2
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SMG
1 - 4
LAF
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
LAF
0 - 0
TAL
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
LAF
2 - 2
DOC
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 2
DOC
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAD
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 1
ARQ
28%
25%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
CAD
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
54%
26%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |