Laferrere vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SMG
1 - 3
LAF
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
LAF
0 - 2
CCO
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
CCO
0 - 1
LAF
34%
28%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
LAF
0 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
LAF
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ARQ
1 - 0
LUJ
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DOC
1 - 1
ARQ
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 1
SMA
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARQ
0 - 3
TAL
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARQ
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |