Copa Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 5-0
La Guaira vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
ARA
57%
26%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
DEP
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
CFC
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
POR
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 1
ESC
31%
29%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TUC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
MIR
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |