La Guaira vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
YAR
2 - 3
DEP
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LLA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 1
DEP
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MIN
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 0
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ZUL
2 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
YAR
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |