Venezuelan Cup 1/16
Global 9-1
La Guaira vs Gran Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 0
DEP
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
4 - 0
LAL
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
GVA
0 - 3
DEP
11%
19%
70%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
DEP
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gran Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GVA
2 - 1
LIB
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GVA
1 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
GVA
0 - 3
DEP
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
YAR
1 - 0
GVA
37%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GVA
0 - 2
YAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |