La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DEP
26%
24%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 2
DEP
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 3
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
EST
43%
23%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EST
4 - 2
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
DRZ
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |