La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 0
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
APC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCV
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 2
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
ZAM
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |