La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 2
DEP
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
MON
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
TAC
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
LAR
23%
29%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
EST
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
TRU
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |