La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 1
MIN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 3
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAM
4 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
LLA
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
ZAM
18%
27%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
ARA
27%
28%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 0
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |