La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
DEP
47%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
MET
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
TAC
20%
28%
53%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ZUL
4 - 0
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 2
ZAM
19%
26%
56%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 1
ESC
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
CFC
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |