La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
DEP
27%
29%
45%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
ANZ
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 3
ARA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 0
ESC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
LLA
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 1
ESC
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |