Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
La Guaira vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
DEP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
DEP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ANZ
71%
18%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 2
ZUL
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
APC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |