La Guaira vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
5º
10º
5º
4
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 19 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 19 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 17 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 16 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 15 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
14º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
67.5% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 2
UCV
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
DEP
42%
24%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
MET
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DRZ
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 3
CFC
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAM
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |