Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
La Guaira vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
TAC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
18%
23%
58%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 4
DEP
18%
23%
60%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 3
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 0
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 0
CFC
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 0
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
CFC
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
LAR
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |