La Guaira vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
CFC
3 - 0
DEP
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 3
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |