La Guaira vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
MIR
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
ARA
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CFC
4 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 5
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |