La Guaira vs Caroní FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
MIR
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZUL
48%
22%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caroní FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TAC
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
YAR
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |