La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 3
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FLD
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
HFF
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
YAR
2 - 2
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |