La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
ATL
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
MIN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 1
YAR
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
APC
1 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 1
ZAM
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
23%
29%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |