La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 1
DEP
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
DEP
4 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
5 - 2
LLA
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
DEP
19%
27%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LAL
67%
23%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
ARA
32%
30%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 2
ARA
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 3
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |