La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ZUL
2 - 5
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CFC
0 - 9
DEP
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 3
DEP
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
ANZ
2 - 0
ARA
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
ARA
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARA
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
LAR
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZUL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |