UD Móstoles Balompié vs EF At. Casarrubuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HUM
3 - 2
DPF
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DPF
2 - 1
LUL
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MDE
0 - 3
DPF
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DPF
4 - 0
AVA
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
DPF
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EF At. Casarrubuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EFC
2 - 1
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 2
HUM
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
CAS
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
MDE
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 0
CAS
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |