UD Móstoles Balompié vs Navalcarnero B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
DPF
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DPF
4 - 0
ORC
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DPF
1 - 0
NUE
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 3
DPF
23%
19%
59%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DPF
5 - 0
ALZ
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Navalcarnero B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HUM
1 - 0
NAV
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
NAV
20%
19%
62%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 0
MDE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 2
NAV
29%
21%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |