Espoli vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
EME
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
OLM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
MAN
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LDU
0 - 0
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
OLM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |