Espoli vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
COL
35%
28%
36%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 4
LOJ
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
IMB
2 - 2
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 3
IMB
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
IMB
2 - 0
LDU
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 4
IMB
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
IMB
1 - 1
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |