Espoli vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
EME
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LDU
2 - 1
ESP
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 2
MAC
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
CUE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
LDU
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |