Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
LOJ
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LDU
3 - 4
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
IMB
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 2
TEC
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 3
FAM
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLM
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |