Espoli vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
BSC
3 - 2
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 0
EME
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EME
2 - 0
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
CCP
3 - 1
TRU
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
0 - 6
CCP
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |