Espoli vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OLM
1 - 0
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
EME
4 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
EME
4 - 1
TEC
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 3
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TEC
3 - 3
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |